2008 United States presidential election in California

The 2008 United States presidential election in California took place on November 4, 2008, in California as part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose 55 electors, the most out of any of the 50 states, to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

2008 United States presidential election in California

← 2004November 4, 20082012 →
Turnout79.42% (of registered voters) Increase 3.38 pp
59.22% (of eligible voters) Increase 2.19 pp[1]
 
NomineeBarack ObamaJohn McCain
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Home stateIllinoisArizona
Running mateJoe BidenSarah Palin
Electoral vote550
Popular vote8,274,4735,011,781
Percentage61.01%36.95%


President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

California was won by Democratic nominee Barack Obama with a 24.1% margin of victory. No Republican has carried the state in a presidential election since George H. W. Bush in 1988. Prior to the election, California was considered to be a state Obama would win or as a safe blue state. With its 55 electoral votes, California was Obama's largest electoral prize in 2008.

As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last time the Democratic candidate carried Trinity County in a presidential election. This was also the first time since 1936 that a Democrat won more than 60% of the vote in California, which the Democrats have done in every election since.

Primaries

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On February 5, 2008, presidential primaries were held by all parties with ballot access in the state.

Democratic

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2008 California Democratic presidential primary

← 2004February 5, 2008 (2008-02-05)2016 →
 
CandidateHillary ClintonBarack Obama
Home stateNew YorkIllinois
Delegate count204166
Popular vote2,608,1842,186,662
Percentage51.47%43.16%

Election results by county

The 2008 California Democratic presidential primary took place on February 5, 2008, also known as Super Tuesday. California was dubbed the "Big Enchilada" by the media because it offers the most delegates out of any other delegation.[2] Hillary Clinton won the primary.

Process

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In the primary, 370 of California's 441 delegates to the Democratic National Convention were selected. The remaining delegates were superdelegates not obligated to vote for any candidate at the convention. Of these delegates, 241 were awarded at the congressional district level, and the remaining 129 were awarded to the statewide winner. Candidates were required to receive at least 15% of either the district or statewide vote to receive any delegates.[3] Registered Democrats and Decline to State voters were eligible to vote.[4]

Number of
delegates
Congressional
districts
320, 47
42, 3, 11, 16, 18, 19, 21, 22, 25, 26, 31, 32, 34, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 48, 49, 51, 52
51, 4, 5, 7, 10, 13, 15, 17, 23, 24, 27, 28, 29, 33, 35, 36, 37, 50, 53
66, 8, 9, 12, 14, 30

Polls

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The latest six polls were averaged (only counting the latest Zogby poll).

CandidateMean of polls
released in
February 2008
Median of polls
released in
February 2008
RCP average
Hillary Clinton42.8%40.5%44.2%
Barack Obama40.3%40.4%41.6%

Results

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Key:Withdrew prior to contest
2008 California Democratic presidential primary[5]
CandidateVotesPercentageNational delegates
Hillary Clinton2,608,18451.47%204
Barack Obama2,186,66243.16%166
John Edwards193,6173.82%0
Dennis Kucinich24,1260.48%0
Bill Richardson19,9390.39%0
Joe Biden18,2610.36%0
Mike Gravel8,1840.16%0
Christopher Dodd8,0050.16%0
Willie Carter (write-in)40.00%0
Eric Hinzman (write-in)40.00%0
Phil Epstein (write-in)30.00%0
Brian Calef (write-in)20.00%0
David Frey (write-in)10.00%0
Joseph McAndrew (write-in)10.00%0
Keith Judd (write-in)00.00%0
John Stein (write-in)70.0000001%0
Totals5,066,993100.00%370
Voter turnout[A]

Republican

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2008 California Republican primary

← 2004February 5, 20082012 →
 
CandidateJohn McCainMitt RomneyMike Huckabee
PartyRepublicanRepublicanRepublican
Home stateArizonaMassachusettsArkansas
Popular vote1,238,9881,013,471340,669
Percentage42.25%34.56%11.612%

Election results by county

The 2008 California Republican primary was held on February 5, 2008, with a total of 173 national delegates at stake.

Process

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The delegates represented California at the Republican National Convention. There were three delegates to every congressional district and fourteen bonus delegates. The winner in each of the 53 congressional districts was awarded all of that district's delegates. The statewide winner was awarded 11 of the 14 bonus delegates, with the 3 remaining delegates assigned to party leaders.[6][7] Voting in the primary was restricted to registered Republican voters.[8]

Polls

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Early polls showed Rudy Giuliani in the lead. Polls taken closer to the primary either showed Mitt Romney or John McCain as the favored candidate.[9]

Results

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Key:Withdrew prior to contest
2008 California Republican presidential primary[5][10]
CandidateVotesPercentageNational delegates
John McCain1,238,98842.25%155
Mitt Romney1,013,47134.56%15
Mike Huckabee340,66911.62%0
Rudy Giuliani128,6814.39%0
Ron Paul125,3654.27%0
Fred Thompson50,2751.71%0
Duncan Hunter14,0210.48%0
Alan Keyes11,7420.40%0
John H. Cox3,2190.11%0
Tom Tancredo3,8840.13%0
Sam Brownback2,4860.08%0
Karen Irish (write-in)60.00%0
Michael Shaw (write-in)20.00%0
Edward Marshall (write-in)10.00%0
Joel Neuberg (write-in)10.00%0
Robert Brickell (write-in)00.00%0
Brian Calef (write-in)00.00%0
David Frey (write-in)00.00%0
Walter Rothnie (write-in)00.00%0
John Sutherland (write-in)00.00%0
Uncommitted delegates3
Totals2,932,811100.00%173
Voter turnout56.08%

American Independent Party

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The American Independent Party held its primary February 5, 2008

2008 California AIP presidential primary[11]
CandidateVotesPercentage
Don J. Grundmann16,60336.08%
Dianne Beall Templin15,30233.25%
Mad Max Riekse14,09930.64%
David Andrew Larson (write-in)180.04%
Totals46,022100.00%

Green Party

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The Green Party held its primary February 5, 2008.

2008 California Green Party presidential primary[11][12]
CandidateVotesPercentageNational delegates
Ralph Nader21,72660.61%-
Cynthia McKinney9,53426.60%-
Elaine Brown1,5984.46%-
Kat Swift1,0843.02%-
Kent Mesplay7272.03%-
Jesse Johnson6191.73%-
Jared Ball5561.55%-
Totals35,844100.00%168

Libertarian

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The Libertarian Party held its primary February 5, 2008.

2008 California Libertarian Party presidential primary[11]
CandidateVotesPercentage
Christine Smith4,24125.16%
Steve Kubby2,87617.06%
Wayne Allen Root2,36014.00%
Bob Jackson1,4868.81%
Barry Hess8915.29%
George Phillies8525.05%
Michael P. Jingozian7744.19%
Robert Milnes7214.28%
Daniel Imperato7074.19%
John Finan7064.19%
Dave Hollist6784.02%
Alden Link5653.35%
Leon L. Ray (write-in)10.01%
Totals16,858100.00%

Peace and Freedom

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The Peace and Freedom Party held its primary February 5, 2008.

2008 California Peace and Freedom Party presidential primary[11]
CandidateVotesPercentage
Ralph Nader2,62040.66%
Cynthia McKinney1,38521.49
Gloria La Riva1,29220.05%
Brian P. Moore3355.51%
John Crockford3465.37%
Stewart A. Alexander3405.28%
Stanley Hetz1061.64%
Totals6,444100.00%

Campaign

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Predictions

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NamePrediction
Associated PressLikely D
CNN Archived 2010-06-19 at the Wayback MachineSafe D
The Cook Political ReportSolid D
CQ PoliticsSolid D
D.C. Political ReportLikely D
Electoral-vote.comSolid D
Fox NewsLikely D
The New York TimesSolid D
PoliticoSolid D
Real Clear PoliticsSolid D
Rasmussen ReportsSafe D
The TakeawaySolid D

Polling

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Characterized early on as “The Big Enchilada” by some pundits, ultimately Obama won most opinion polls taken prior to the election. Until October 9, his lead ranged from 7 to 15 points in most polls. However, after October 9, his lead expanded to more than 20 consistently. In the final three polls he averaged 59%, while McCain averaged 34%; which is close to the results on election day.[13]

Fundraising

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Obama raised a total of $124,325,459 from the state. McCain raised a total of $26,802,024.[14]

Advertising and visits

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The Obama campaign spent almost $5,570,641. The McCain campaign spent $1,885,142.[15] Obama visited the state six times. McCain visited the state eight times.[16]

Analysis

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California was once a Republican leaning swing state, supporting Republican candidates in every election from 1952 through 1988, except in 1964. However, since the 1990s, California has become a reliably Democratic state with a highly diverse ethnic population (mostly Latino) and liberal bastions such as the San Francisco Bay Area and Los Angeles County. The last time the state was won by a Republican candidate was in 1988 by George H. W. Bush.

Obama won by a historic margin, with 61.01% of the votes. Most news organizations called California for Obama as soon as the polls in the state closed. He was projected the winner of the state along with Washington, Hawaii, and Oregon at the same time, whose combined electoral votes caused all news organizations to declare Obama the president-elect. The last time the margin was higher in the state was in 1936 when Franklin D. Roosevelt won with 66.95% of the vote.[17]

In San Francisco and Alameda County (which includes Oakland and Berkeley), four out of five voters backed the Democratic candidate. Elsewhere in the Bay Area, Obama won every county by a three to two margin or greater.[18] In Los Angeles County, Obama won almost 70% of the votes.[18] His combined margin in the Bay Area and Los Angeles County would have been more than enough to carry the state.

Obama also made considerable headway in historically Republican areas of the state. Fresno County, for example, a heavily populated county in the Central Valley, went from giving Bush a 16% margin to a 2% margin for Obama.[18] San Diego County moved from a six-percent margin for Bush to a 10-point margin for Obama—only the second time since World War II that a Democrat has carried this military-dominated county.[18] San Bernardino and Riverside went from double-digit Republican victories to narrow Democratic wins.[18] Ventura County also moved from Republican to Democratic. Orange County, historically one of the most Republican suburban counties in the nation, went from a 21-point margin for Bush to only a 2.5-point margin for McCain.

Voter turnout was also fairly higher than the national average. The 79% turnout of registered voters in the state was the highest since the 1976 presidential election.[19] Despite the Democratic landslide in California, during the same election, a ballot proposition to ban same-sex marriage narrowly passed. A number of counties that had voted for Obama voted yes to it, as it was supported by Hispanics and African Americans. Even though Obama considered marriage to be between a man and a woman at the time, he opposed the "divisive and discriminatory efforts to amend the California Constitution... the U.S. Constitution or those of other states".[20] Arnold Schwarzenegger, the state's Republican governor and a supporter of John McCain, opposed the proposition, though McCain supported it. There was also a proposed ballot proposition called the Presidential Election Reform Act in the state to alter the way the state's electors would be distributed among presidential candidates, but the initiative failed to get onto the ballot.[21]

Results

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The following are official results from the California Secretary of State.[22]

2008 United States presidential election in California
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
DemocraticBarack ObamaJoe Biden8,274,47361.01%55
RepublicanJohn McCainSarah Palin5,011,78136.95%0
Peace and FreedomRalph NaderMatt Gonzalez108,3810.80%0
LibertarianBob BarrWayne Allyn Root67,5820.50%0
American IndependentAlan KeyesBrian Rohrbough40,6730.30%0
GreenCynthia McKinneyRosa Clemente38,7740.29%0
IndependentRon Paul (write-in)Gail Lightfoot17,0060.13%0
IndependentChuck Baldwin (write-in)Darrell Castle3,1450.02%0
IndependentJames Harris (write-in)Alyson Kennedy490.00%0
IndependentFrank Moore (write-in)Susan Block360.00%0
Valid votes13,561,90098.68%
Invalid or blank votes181,2771.32%
Totals13,743,177100.00%55
Voter turnout79.42%

By county

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The results below are primarily compiled from the final reports available from the Secretary of State. The "others" category also includes write-in votes.[23]

CountyBarack Obama
Democratic
John McCain
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Alameda489,10678.52%119,55519.19%14,2522.29%369,55159.33%622,913
Alpine42260.81%25236.31%202.88%17024.50%694
Amador7,81341.38%10,56155.94%5052.67%-2,748-14.56%18,879
Butte49,01349.66%46,70647.32%2,9883.03%2,3072.34%98,707
Calaveras9,81341.90%12,83554.80%7733.30%-3,022-12.90%23,421
Colusa2,56939.84%3,73357.89%1462.26%-1,164-18.05%6,448
Contra Costa306,98367.73%136,43630.10%9,8252.17%170,54737.63%453,244
Del Norte4,32345.36%4,96752.11%2412.53%-644-6.75%9,531
El Dorado40,52943.44%50,31453.92%2,4662.64%-9,785-10.48%93,309
Fresno136,70649.99%131,01547.91%5,7312.10%5,6912.08%273,452
Glenn3,73437.80%5,91059.82%2352.38%-2,176-22.02%9,879
Humboldt39,69262.05%21,71333.94%2,5634.01%17,97928.11%63,968
Imperial24,16262.24%14,00836.08%6501.67%10,15426.16%38,820
Inyo3,74343.76%4,52352.88%2883.37%-780-9.12%8,554
Kern93,45739.97%134,79357.65%5,5582.38%-41,336-17.68%233,808
Kings14,74742.00%19,71056.14%6511.85%-4,963-14.14%35,108
Lake14,85457.96%9,93538.76%8403.28%4,91919.20%25,629
Lassen3,58631.37%7,48365.45%3643.18%-3,897-34.08%11,433
Los Angeles2,295,85369.19%956,42528.82%65,9701.99%1,339,42840.37%3,318,248
Madera17,95242.27%23,58355.52%9392.21%-5,631-13.25%42,474
Marin109,32077.77%28,38420.19%2,8662.04%80,93657.58%140,570
Mariposa4,10042.37%5,29854.75%2792.88%-1,198-12.38%9,677
Mendocino27,84369.29%10,72126.68%1,6204.03%17,12242.61%40,184
Merced34,03153.13%28,70444.81%1,3162.05%5,3278.32%64,051
Modoc1,31329.71%2,98167.44%1262.85%-1,668-37.73%4,420
Mono3,09355.52%2,35442.25%1242.23%73913.27%5,571
Monterey88,45368.15%38,79729.89%2,5331.95%49,65638.26%129,783
Napa38,84965.14%19,48432.67%1,3092.19%19,36532.47%59,642
Nevada28,61751.43%25,66346.12%1,3672.46%2,9545.31%55,647
Orange549,55847.63%579,06450.19%25,0652.17%-29,506-2.56%1,153,687
Placer75,11243.21%94,64754.45%4,0532.33%-19,535-11.24%173,812
Plumas4,71542.75%6,03554.72%2782.52%-1,320-11.97%11,028
Riverside325,01750.21%310,04147.90%12,2411.89%14,9762.31%647,299
Sacramento316,50658.30%213,58339.34%12,7702.35%102,92318.96%542,859
San Benito11,91760.22%7,42537.52%4462.25%4,49222.70%19,788
San Bernardino315,72052.07%277,40845.75%13,2062.18%38,3126.32%606,334
San Diego666,58153.95%541,03243.79%27,8902.26%125,54910.16%1,235,503
San Francisco322,22083.96%52,29213.62%8,3532.18%269,92870.34%383,796
San Joaquin113,97454.19%91,60743.56%4,7272.25%22,36710.63%210,308
San Luis Obispo68,17651.20%61,05545.85%3,9242.95%7,1215.35%133,155
San Mateo222,82673.47%75,05724.75%5,4091.78%147,76948.72%303,292
Santa Barbara105,61460.21%65,58537.39%4,2082.40%40,02922.82%175,407
Santa Clara462,24169.45%190,03928.55%13,3092.00%272,20240.90%665,589
Santa Cruz98,74577.30%25,24419.76%3,7472.93%73,50157.54%127,736
Shasta28,86735.91%49,58861.68%1,9352.41%-20,721-25.77%80,390
Sierra74337.32%1,15858.16%904.52%-415-20.84%1,991
Siskiyou9,29243.09%11,52053.42%7523.49%-2,228-10.33%21,564
Solano102,09563.18%56,03534.68%3,4582.14%46,06028.50%161,588
Sonoma168,88873.64%55,12724.04%5,3362.33%113,76149.60%229,351
Stanislaus80,27949.70%77,49747.98%3,7362.31%2,7821.72%161,512
Sutter13,41240.62%18,91157.27%6982.11%-5,499-16.65%33,021
Tehama8,94536.42%14,84360.44%7723.14%-5,898-24.02%24,560
Trinity3,23350.28%2,94045.72%2574.00%2934.56%6,430
Tulare43,63441.35%59,76556.64%2,1262.01%-16,131-15.29%105,525
Tuolumne11,53242.24%14,98854.90%7832.87%-3,456-12.66%27,303
Ventura187,60155.01%145,85342.77%7,5872.22%41,74812.24%341,041
Yolo53,48867.07%24,59230.84%1,6692.09%28,89636.23%79,749
Yuba8,86641.43%12,00756.10%5282.47%-3,141-14.67%21,401
Total8,274,47360.92%5,011,78136.90%296,8292.19%3,262,69224.02%13,583,083

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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By congressional district

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Obama carried 42 of 53 congressional districts in California, including eight districts held by Republicans.

DistrictMcCainObamaRepresentative
1st31.69%65.60%Mike Thompson
2nd56.10%41.43%Wally Herger
3rd48.81%49.28%Dan Lungren
4th53.98%43.83%John Doolittle (110th Congress)
Tom McClintock (111th Congress)
5th28.40%69.62%Doris Matsui
6th22.01%75.95%Lynn Woolsey
7th26.43%71.40%George Miller
8th12.38%85.22%Nancy Pelosi
9th9.87%88.13%Barbara Lee
10th33.14%64.66%Ellen Tauscher
11th44.47%53.79%Jerry McNerney
12th23.88%74.32%Jackie Speier
13th23.81%74.38%Pete Stark
14th24.88%73.11%Anna Eshoo
15th29.69%68.42%Mike Honda
16th28.83%69.55%Zoe Lofgren
17th25.78%72.14%Sam Farr
18th38.98%59.24%Dennis Cardoza
19th52.12%46.03%George Radanovich
20th38.70%59.55%Jim Costa
21st56.32%42.06%Devin Nunes
22nd59.67%38.30%Kevin McCarthy
23rd32.31%65.30%Lois Capps
24th47.65%50.49%Elton Gallegly
25th48.34%49.45%Howard McKeon
26th46.96%51.03%David Dreier
27th31.69%66.12%Brad Sherman
28th22.04%76.16%Howard Berman
29th30.37%67.59%Adam Schiff
30th27.90%70.44%Henry Waxman
31st17.83%79.87%Xavier Becerra
32nd29.81%68.17%Hilda Solis
33rd11.69%86.81%Diane Watson
34th23.15%74.73%Lucille Roybal-Allard
35th14.14%84.37%Maxine Waters
36th33.52%64.39%Jane Harman
37th18.70%79.59%Laura Richardson
38th26.62%71.27%Grace Napolitano
39th32.43%65.48%Linda Sánchez
40th51.14%46.63%Ed Royce
41st54.18%43.66%Jerry Lewis
42nd53.19%44.88%Gary Miller
43rd30.09%67.96%Joe Baca
44th48.57%49.51%Ken Calvert
45th46.94%51.52%Mary Bono Mack
46th49.77%47.94%Dana Rohrabacher
47th37.78%60.14%Loretta Sanchez
48th48.55%49.30%John B. T. Campbell III
49th53.01%45.14%Darrell Issa
50th47.08%51.26%Brian Bilbray
51st35.48%63.11%Bob Filner
52nd53.42%44.98%Duncan Hunter
53rd29.87%68.17%Susan Davis

Electors

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Technically the voters of California cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. California is allocated 55 electors because it has 53 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 55 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate, to the California Secretary of State. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 55 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[24] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols. In California the 55 electors meet in the State Capitol building in Sacramento to cast their ballots.[25]

The following were the members of the Electoral College from California. All were pledged to and voted for Barack Obama and Joe Biden.[26]

Notes

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A Turnout information is not available because Decline to State voters were allowed to participate.[4] There were a total of 6,749,406 eligible registered voters registered with the Democratic Party and 3,043,164 who declined to state.[10]

See also

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References

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