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2023 United States gubernatorial elections

For related races, see 2023 United States elections.

United States gubernatorial elections were held on November 7, 2023, in the states of Kentucky and Mississippi, with an election having occurred in Louisiana on October 14. These elections form part of the 2023 United States elections. The last regular gubernatorial elections for all three states were in 2019.

2023 United States gubernatorial elections
← 2022November 7, 2023
October 14 (Louisiana)		2024 →
3 governorships
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Seats before2624
Seats after2723
Seat changeIncrease 1Decrease 1
Popular vote1,741,8551,389,283
Percentage54.34%43.34%
Seats up12
Races won21
2023 Kentucky gubernatorial election2023 Louisiana gubernatorial election2023 Mississippi gubernatorial election
     Republican gain      Democratic hold
     Republican hold

In Louisiana, term-limited incumbent John Bel Edwards was succeeded by Jeff Landry, flipping the seat from Democratic to Republican control. In Kentucky, Democrat Andy Beshear won re-election to a second term. In Mississippi, Republican Tate Reeves won re-election to a second term.

Partisan composition

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Going into the election, there were 26 Republican governors and 24 Democratic governors in the United States. This class of governors was made up of 1 Republican and 2 Democrats. Democrats were defending two governorships in states Donald Trump won in 2020 (Kentucky and Louisiana).[1][2]

Election predictions

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Several sites and individuals published predictions of competitive seats. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, with the rating indicating a party's predicted advantage in winning that seat.

Most election predictors use:

  • "tossup": no advantage
  • "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
  • "lean": slight advantage
  • "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
  • "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
StatePVIIncumbentLast
race		Cook
October 23,
2023[3]		IE
September 1,
2023[4]		Sabato
October 16,
2023[5]		ED
November 7,
2023[6]		Result
KentuckyR+16Andy Beshear49.2% DLean DTilt DLean DLean DBeshear
52.5% D
LouisianaR+12John Bel Edwards
(term-limited)		51.3% DLean R (flip)Likely R (flip)Likely R (flip)Safe R (flip)Landry
51.6% R (flip)
MississippiR+11Tate Reeves51.9% RLean RLean RLikely RLikely RReeves
50.9% R

Race summary

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StateIncumbentPartyFirst electedResultGeneral election
KentuckyAndy BeshearDemocratic2019Incumbent re-elected.
LouisianaJohn Bel EdwardsDemocratic2015Incumbent term-limited.
New governor elected.
Republican gain.
Others
  • ▌Hunter Lundy (Independent) 4.9%
  • ▌Danny Cole (Democratic) 2.6%
  • ▌Sharon Hewitt (Republican) 1.7%
  • ▌Benjamin Barnes (Independent) 0.5%
  • ▌Patrick "Dat" Barthel (Republican) 0.4%
  • ▌Richard Nelson (Republican) 0.3%
  • ▌Jeffrey Istre (Independent) 0.3%
  • ▌Xavier Ellis (Republican) 0.2%
  • ▌Keitron Gagnon (Independent) 0.1%
  • ▌Xan John (Republican) 0.1%
  • ▌Frank Scurlock (Independent) 0.1%
MississippiTate ReevesRepublican2019Incumbent re-elected.

Closest states

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States where the margin of victory was between 1% and 5%:

  1. Mississippi, 3.24%

States where the margin of victory was between 5% and 10%:

  1. Kentucky, 5.07%

Red denotes states won by Republicans. Blue denotes states won by Democrats.

Kentucky

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Kentucky gubernatorial election
← 2019
2027 →
Turnout38.0%
 
NomineeAndy BeshearDaniel Cameron
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Running mateJacqueline ColemanRobby Mills
Popular vote694,482627,457
Percentage52.5%47.5%
Results by county
Governor before election

Andy Beshear
Democratic

Elected Governor

Andy Beshear
Democratic

Main article: 2023 Kentucky gubernatorial election

Governor Andy Beshear was elected in 2019 with 49.2% of the vote and ran for re-election to a second term.[7] He won the Democratic nomination with little opposition & won the general election.

Attorney general Daniel Cameron, former US Ambassador to the UN Kelly Craft, state auditor Mike Harmon, and agriculture commissioner Ryan Quarles all ran for the Republican gubernatorial nomination.[7] Cameron was supported by former president Donald Trump, and led every poll leading to the primary, with Craft and Quarles trailing behind him.[8] Cameron won the Republican nomination, becoming the first African American major party gubernatorial nominee in Kentucky's history.[9]

Democratic primary results[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAndy Beshear (incumbent) 176,589 91.3
DemocraticGeoff Young9,8655.1
DemocraticPeppy Martin6,9133.6
Total votes193,367 100.0
Republican primary results[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDaniel Cameron 144,576 47.7
RepublicanRyan Quarles65,71821.7
RepublicanKelly Craft52,17017.2
RepublicanEric Deters17,4645.8
RepublicanMike Harmon7,7972.6
RepublicanAlan Keck7,3172.4
RepublicanDavid Cooper2,2820.8
RepublicanJacob Clark1,9000.6
RepublicanRobbie Smith1,3880.5
RepublicanBob DeVore9310.3
RepublicanJohnny Rice7260.2
RepublicanDennis Ormerod6960.2
Total votes302,965 100.0
2023 Kentucky gubernatorial election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic
694,482 52.53 +3.33
Republican
627,45747.46-1.37
Write-in820.01N/A
Total votes1,322,021 100.00
Democratic hold

Louisiana

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Main article: 2023 Louisiana gubernatorial election
2023 Louisiana gubernatorial election
← 2019October 14, 20232027 →
Turnout36.3%
 
CandidateJeff LandryShawn Wilson
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote547,827275,525
Percentage51.6%25.9%
 
CandidateStephen WaguespackJohn Schroder
PartyRepublicanRepublican
Popular vote62,28756,654
Percentage5.9%5.3%
Results by parish
Governor before election

John Bel Edwards
Democratic

Elected Governor

Jeff Landry
Republican

Governor John Bel Edwards was re-elected to a second term in 2019 with 51.3% of the vote. He was term-limited by the Louisiana Constitution in 2023, and could not seek reelection for a third consecutive term.

Louisiana utilizes a jungle primary system. Republican Attorney General Jeff Landry was considered the frontrunner. Other candidates included state senator Sharon Hewitt, and Treasurer John Schroder. Democratic Secretary of Transportation Shawn Wilson also ran to succeed Edwards.[11][12]

Landry won with over 51% of the vote in the primary, becoming the first person to win a Louisiana gubernatorial election without a runoff since Bobby Jindal in 2011. Landry easily prevailed over several Republican opponents and the leading Democratic candidate.[13]

2023 Louisiana gubernatorial election[14]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJeff Landry 547,827 51.56%
DemocraticShawn Wilson275,52525.93%
RepublicanStephen Waguespack62,2875.86%
RepublicanJohn Schroder56,6545.33%
IndependentHunter Lundy52,1654.91%
DemocraticDanny Cole27,6622.60%
RepublicanSharon Hewitt18,4681.74%
IndependentBenjamin Barnes5,1900.49%
RepublicanDat Barthel4,4260.42%
RepublicanRichard Nelson (withdrawn)3,6050.34%
IndependentJeffery Istre3,4000.32%
RepublicanXavier Ellis1,7340.16%
IndependentKeitron Gagnon1,2600.12%
RepublicanXan John1,1640.11%
IndependentFrank Scurlock1,1310.11%
Total votes1,062,498 100.00%
Republican gain from Democratic

Mississippi

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Mississippi gubernatorial election
← 2019
2027 →
 
NomineeTate ReevesBrandon Presley
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote418,233391,614
Percentage50.9%47.7%
Results by county
Governor before election

Tate Reeves
Republican

Elected Governor

Tate Reeves
Republican

Main article: 2023 Mississippi gubernatorial election

Governor Tate Reeves was elected in 2019 with 51.9% of the vote and ran for re-election to a second term.[15]

Democrat Brandon Presley, Mississippi Public Service Commissioner for the Northern District, was the Democratic nominee to challenge Reeves.[16]

Reeves won re-election.

Republican primary results[17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTate Reeves (incumbent) 281,213 74.7
RepublicanJohn Witcher66,69817.7
RepublicanDavid Grady Hardigree28,5617.6
Total votes376,472 100.0
Democratic primary results[18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBrandon Presley 196,307 100.0
Total votes196,307 100.0
2023 Mississippi gubernatorial election[19][20]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanTate Reeves (incumbent) 418,233 50.94 –0.97
DemocraticBrandon Presley391,61447.70+0.87
IndependentGwendolyn Gray (withdrawn)11,1531.36N/A
Total votes821,000 100.00
Republican hold

See also

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References

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  1. ^ Vakil, Caroline (2023-01-02). "Here are the governors' races to watch in 2023". The Hill. Retrieved 2024-01-05.
  2. ^ Jacobson, Louis (June 8, 2023). "Democrats Face Uphill Challenge in Three Off-Year Races for Governor". US News & World Report. Retrieved January 5, 2023.
  3. ^ "2024 CPR Governor Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2023-07-23.
  4. ^ Washington, Inside Elections 810 7th Street NE; Developers, DC 20002 Phone:546-2822 Email · Subscriptions API for. "Gubernatorial Ratings". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2023-07-23.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  5. ^ "2024 Governor – Sabato's Crystal Ball". Retrieved 2023-07-23.
  6. ^ Cunningham, Eric (2023-11-07). "Final 2023 Gubernatorial Ratings: Kentucky Moves to Leans Democratic, Mississippi is Likely Republican". Elections Daily. Retrieved 2023-11-07.
  7. ^ a b "Election Candidate Filings - Governor". web.sos.ky.gov. Retrieved May 3, 2023.
  8. ^ "Trump endorses Cameron's bid for governor in Kentucky". spectrumnews1.com. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
  9. ^ "Daniel Cameron wins Republican primary for Kentucky governor". CBS News. May 16, 2023. Retrieved May 17, 2023.
  10. ^ a b "May 16, 2023 Official 2023 Primary Election Results" (PDF). Kentucky Secretary of State. Archived (PDF) from the original on July 30, 2023. Retrieved October 6, 2023.
  11. ^ Karlin, Sam (9 January 2023). "Billy Nungesser to announce he's not running for governor, will seek re-election". The Advocate. Retrieved 11 January 2023.
  12. ^ Doyle, Matt (November 19, 2019). "2023 Governor's race could be packed with GOP heavy hitters". Louisiana Radio Network. Louisiana Farm Bureau Federation. Retrieved November 29, 2020.
  13. ^ Montellaro, Zach (October 14, 2023). "Landry wins Louisiana governor's race, flipping state red". Politico. Retrieved October 14, 2023.
  14. ^ "Official Results for Election Date: 10/14/2023 Governor".
  15. ^ Reily, Ross (January 3, 2023). "Mississippi Republican Gov. Tate Reeves files for reelection bid". Clarion Ledger.
  16. ^ Hernandez, Rachel (2023-01-12). "Brandon Presley joins race for Mississippi governor". WKRG. Retrieved 2023-01-12.
  17. ^ "2023 Republican primary results". Mississippi Secretary of State. Retrieved September 16, 2023.
  18. ^ "2023 Democratic primary results". Mississippi Secretary of State. Retrieved September 16, 2023.
  19. ^ "Mississippi Governor Election Results". The New York Times. 7 November 2023. Retrieved November 14, 2023.
  20. ^ "Mississippi Governor". CNN. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
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