Opinion polling for the 2023 Turkish presidential election

In the run up to the 2023 Turkish presidential election, with its first round held on 14 May and a second round on 28 May, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Turkey. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. These polls only include Turkish voters nationwide and do not take into account Turkish expatriates voting abroad. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 24 June 2018, to the present day.

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, or that no candidate exceeds 50%, top two candidates' figures are shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

First round

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Polling aggregations

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  Light red denotes reports that were released after the polling ban came into effect.
Aggregator/
Pollsters
Fieldwork datesLast updatedErdoğan
PEOPLE
Kılıçdaroğlu
NATION
Oğan
ANCESTRAL
İnce
HOMELAND
Others/
Undecided
Lead
600vekilApril–May13 May47.0%49.3%3.7%2.3%
Euronews25 April – 12 May12 May45.8%48.9%3.0%2.3%3.1%
POLITICOApril–May12 May46%50%3%2%'-1%'4%
TGRT HaberMay4 May47.5%46.13%2.83%3.53%1.37%
Piyasal SiyasalApril–May4 May45.67%47.32%2.53%4.48%1.65%
Anketler ve RaporlarApril4 May45.2%46.9%2.3%5.5%0.1%1.7%
Europe Elects / EuractivApril–May3 May44%48%3%5%4%
PolimetreApril–May2 May35.3%55.5%9.2%20.2%
Türkiye RaporuApril2 May44.22%47.64%2.78%5.37%3.42%
PolitProApril1 May43.3%48.8%2.7%4.9%0.3%5.5%
El ElectoralApril28 April44.0%47.5%2.0%5.5%1.0%3.5%
Seçimler ve SayılarApril25 April45.24%46.95%2.16%5.65%1.71%
ThePoliticalPulseMarch12 March44.06%55.90% 0.04%11.84%

Official campaign polling

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The table below contains polls conducted after the official start of the campaign period on 10 March.[1][2]

  Light red denotes polls that were released after the polling ban came into effect.
Fieldwork date[nb 1]Polling firmPublished bySample size Lead
Erdoğan
PEOPLE
Kılıçdaroğlu
NATION
Oğan
ANCESTRAL
İnce
HOMELAND
14 May 2023Nationwide results YSK49.5244.885.170.434.64
10–13 MayAtlasIntel4,92044.544.67.91.10.1
12–13 MayÖzdemir3,01648.445.26.43.2
11–13 MayRemres4,76444.453.61.90.19.2
11–13 MayTAG2,91045.152.12.60.27.0
12 MayİEA1,50045.650.53.94.9
11–12 MayBETİMAR5,75149.145.05.60.34.1
11–12 MayAREDA Survey[pc 1]25,00051.344.23.90.67.1
11–12 MayASAL2,01750.646.33.14.3
9–12 MayAksoy4,00045.647.95.70.82.3
10–11 MayORC3,92044.251.72.81.37.5
10–11 MayGENAR2,00051.444.33.77.1
9–11 MayOptimar5,95050.444.73.41.55.7
8–11 MayAvrasya[pc 2]2,46044.251.33.11.47.1
11 May 2023Muharrem İnce withdraws his candidacy.[3]
9–10 MayYöneylem2,47644.449.54.71.45.1
9–10 MayMetroPOLL2,03846.949.12.71.32.2
8–10 MayEuroPoll2,38746.251.52.35.3
7–10 MayArgetus2,56850.646.12.11.24.5
7–10 MaySER-AR2,79545.252.12.76.9
5–10 MayARL5,24346.150.32.21.44.2
3–10 MayRemres5,41144.152.11.72.18.0
8–9 MayArea3,00046.149.13.51.33.0
6–9 MayİEA5,00045.948.73.71.72.8
6–9 MayPİAR45.351.32.60.86.0
5–9 MayALF6,00044.751.22.51.66.5
2–9 MayArtıbir1,50044.650.13.02.35.5
20 Apr–9 MayADA65,00050.644.81.72.95.8
4–8 MayİVEM4,02048.646.92.42.11.7
2–8 MayBULGU2,40043.250.53.82.57.3
6–7 MayKONDA3,48043.749.34.82.25.6
3–7 MaySAROS8,16446.0951.002.915.0
44.549.962.33.25.5
2–6 MayTAG3,15044.750.22.32.85.5
27 Apr–5 MayAvrasya[pc 2]5,60043.650.93.02.57.3
26 Apr–4 MayMAK5,75045.450.92.01.75.5
1–3 MayAtlasIntel2,00644.844.15.85.30.7
1-3 MayAREDA Survey[pc 1]16,74050.841.93.63.78.9
27 Apr-3 MayAR-G2,23146.449.12.22.32.7
26 Apr–3 MayÖzdemir5,91649.243.34.72.95.9
30 Apr-2 MaySER-AR2,60044.352.71.61.48.4
28 Apr-2 MayİVEM4,15647.845.93.03.31.9
27 Apr-2 MaySONAR4,19748.844.13.53.64.7
27 Apr-2 MayASAL2,52349.146.31.92.72.8
25 Apr-2 MayHBS5,10047.547.02.23.30.5
29 Apr-1 MayORC3,95044.648.03.14.33.4
27-30 AprYöneylem2,59442.548.65.23.76.1
25-30 AprTAG1,90043.351.92.32.78.6
25-30 AprSAROS7,28447.249.11.32.31.9
26-29 AprADA3,27848.945.82.42.93.1
26-28 AprAksoy1,53741.947.35.05.85.4
24-28 AprSosyo Politik1,56944.151.71.23.07.6
25-28 AprOptimar3,00548.644.13.04.34.5
25-27 AprAREDA Survey[pc 1]14,19351.142.02.84.19.1
24-27 AprSER-AR5,00044.853.10.51.68.3
24-26 AprGezici3,99144.648.72.04.75.4
23-26 AprTEAM3,05444.447.42.16.13.0
17-25 AprTÜSİAR1,50048.746.61.13.62.1
10-25 AprBULGUSözcü2,40041.549.52.56.58.0
13-24 AprArtıbir1,50043.749.42.44.55.7
19-22 AprORC3,92042.449.32.26.16.9
15-20 AprAREDA Survey[pc 1]17,40051.441.82.24.69.6
15-18 AprPiar5,40047.149.42.31.22.3
12-20 AprArea10,27746.746.82.63.90.1
14-16 AprYöneylem2,42243.048.62.85.85.6
10-16 AprSONAR4,54146.144.12.17.72.0
10-16 AprAKSOY1,06738.447.94.89.09.5
10-16 AprMAK5,75043.747.81.13.44.1
12-14 AprAREDA Survey[pc 1]10,13650.843.11.64.57.7
13 AprAR-G1,98445.649.21.33.93.6
8-12 AprALF2,34043.947.42.26.53.5
7-11 AprORC5,40041.548.92.47.27.4
6-10 AprAvrasya[pc 2]2,41042.350.92.04.88.6
9 AprSAROS10,72946.845.71.66.01.1
3-8 AprTAG1,60042.951.41.64.18.5
1-8 AprOptimarMilliyet4,74545.943.91.78.32.0
1-4 AprTekAr3,60045.846.22.45.60.4
1-3 AprMetroPoll2,61041.142.62.25.01.5
1-2 AprGezici2.86443.253.41.32.110.2
25 Mar-2 AprASAL2,14746.842.22.68.44.6
28 Mar - 1 AprAREDA Survey[pc 1]Sabah18,48750.641.82.15.58.8
31 MarMetroPollBirGün2,04642.044.62.6
31 March 2023Final candidate list was published in the Official Gazette.[6]
28-30 MarAnkara Analitik2,18744.539.71.514.34.8
27-29 MarYöneylem2,65541.646.42.99.14.8
24 March 2023Erbakan withdraws his candidacy, endorsing Erdoğan.[7]
22 March 2023Labour and Freedom Alliance announces that they are not nominating a candidate.[8]
13-21 MarArtıbirKRT TV Live1,50044.051.31.23.57.3
20 MarSAROS10,82644.345.53.11.2
13-18 MarOptimar1,91647.445.30.76.52.1
12-17 MarAvrasya[pc 2]23 DERECE2,56039.753.51.42.913.8
13-15 MarTAG2,10043.245.43.65.52.2
11-15 MarORC4,54042.353.11.53.17.8
17 MarThemisHaber31,45832.136.812.27.94.7
15 MarMAKHabertürk TV5,75045.751.15.4
14 MarAR-G1,47243.146.23.17.63.1

Pre-campaign polling

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2023

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Fieldwork datePolling firmPublished bySample sizeOthersLead
Erdoğan
AKP
İmamoğlu
CHP
Yavaş
CHP
Kılıçdaroğlu
CHP
Demirtaş
HDP
Akşener
İYİ
Karamollaoğlu
SAADET
Babacan
DEVA
Davutoğlu
GP
İnce
MP
6 March 2023Kılıçdaroğlu is declared the Nation Alliance candidate for president.
23–27 FebAreda[pc 1]Yeni Şafak3,00049.86.99.621.76.02.60.40.80.20.81.228.1

2022

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Fieldwork datePolling firmPublished bySample sizeOthersLead
Erdoğan
AKP
İmamoğlu
CHP
Yavaş
CHP
Kılıçdaroğlu
CHP
Demirtaş
HDP
Beştaş
HDP
Buldan
HDP
Akşener
İYİ
Karamollaoğlu
SAADET
Bahçeli
MHP
Babacan
DEVA
Davutoğlu
GP
İnce
MP
12–15 AugOptimarHürriyet2,00036.53.714.714.69.57.68.35.121.8
11–14 JulOptimarHürriyet3,48130.14.612.5118.26.417.6
13–24 JunSONAR3.10040.210.117.84.34.610.42.21.72.16.622.4
12–15 MayOptimarT242.51936.18.411.911.94.73.224.2
6–12 MaySONAR2.84039.212.515.73.94.78.02.81.92.78.623,5
23–28 AprOptimarGazete Duvar1.84733.19.113.012.020,1
AprMetroPOLL40.130.215.29,9
AprALF33.716.622.24.38.37.22.15.611,5
10–16 MarOptimarHürriyet2.00233.810.79.911.522.3
24–31 JanAKAMEurope Elects1.86028.530.310.211.04.97.92.42.71.8
7–13 JanİEAEurope Elects1.50044.015.240.82.2

2021

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Fieldwork datePolling firmPublished bySample sizeOthersLead
Erdoğan
AKP
İmamoğlu
CHP
Yavaş
CHP
Kılıçdaroğlu
CHP
Demirtaş
HDP
Beştaş
HDP
Buldan
HDP
Akşener
İYİ
Karamollaoğlu
SAADET
Bahçeli
MHP
Babacan
DEVA
Davutoğlu
GP
İnce
MP
30 Nov–5 DecYöneylemT242,00243.540.815.82.7
13–20 NovOptimarHürriyet2,50726.08.514.25.08.76.44.311.8
11–14 NovASAL1,71243.311.310.66.010.17.73.72.40.71.52.732.0
27 Oct–3 NovYöneylemEurope Elects2,00044.840.015.24.8
OctADA2,42338.819.06.117.11.07.82.71.42.43.719.8
OctSAROS1,85443.412.111.46.111.08.03.63.00.50.70.231.3
24–30 SepYöneylemGazete Duvar2,40047.836.315.911.5
19–27 SepOptimar1,93845.68.115.810.19.19.40.50.30.11.229.8
10–22 SepSosyo Politik2,00048.27.65.819.08.46.82.11.40.729.2
20–27 AugYöneylemGazete Duvar3,04045.938.215.97.7
AugOptimarPara AnalizN/A46.38.218.57.36.35.30.13.21.60.10.92.127.8
10–13 JulOptimarHür Haber1,72645.18.915.98.35.96.40.54.10.90.30.43.329.2
21–28 JunSosyo Politik1,00837.514.27.618.39.88.43.11.119.2
22–24 MayOptimarHürriyet1,83636.77.713.86.58.28.022.9
22–30 AprOptimarHürriyet2,02738.69.615.74.16.022.9
MarSAROS3,04238.614.62.93.913.29.711.31.91.81.40.724.0
28 Feb – 5 MarOptimarMilliyet2,20732.56.28.01.65.24.224.5
10 Jan – 4 FebSONAR3,20045.914.69.82.35.28.87.16.331.3
20–26 JanADA3,24548.212.67.413.71.04.02.43.37.334.5
JanSAROS3,03437.69.63.87.317.19.30.910.01.51.61.20.220.5

2020

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Fieldwork datePolling firmSample sizeOthersLead
Erdoğan
AKP
İmamoğlu
CHP
Yavaş
CHP
Kılıçdaroğlu
CHP
Demirtaş
HDP
Beştaş
HDP
Akşener
İYİ
Karamollaoğlu
SAADET
Bahçeli
MHP
Babacan
DEVA
Davutoğlu
GP
İnce
MP
DecTEAM9,28143.216.26.22.89.68.34.81.61.03.92.427.0
DecSandık Analiz3,80944.031.27.510.60.64.11.10.912.8
3–9 DecOptimar2,25333.84.76.64.55.127.2
11 Nov – 4 DecKadir Has University1,00047.89.66.110.811.110.34.336.7
NovSAROS3,09234.113.14.17.012.27.510.39.90.70.60.621.0
26–30 OctOptimar2,14736.48.38.627.8
AugSONAR2,85050.511.17.77.88.88.35.839.4
3–5 AugADA1,75043.213.814.31.25.76.80.94.23.41.73.71.128.9
10–14 JulOptimar2,04738.47.04.04.75.631.4
JunSAROS3,01741.415.04.79.99.28.80.28.10.71.40.626.4
MayAR–G1,25842.119.612.81.05.66.10.93.24.11.82.20.622.5
20 Apr – 8 MayOptimar2,30748.213.57.38.534.7
9 Mar - 2 AprKonsensus1,50049.917.75.66.85.532.2
2–6 MarADA1,36644.325.52.91.36.66.21.34.93.21.31.41.118.8
24 FebPolimetre[nb 2]N/A38.535.19.38.19.03.4
2–9 JanArtibir1,50049.537.79.43.411.8

2018–2019

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Fieldwork datePolling firmSample sizeOthersLead
Erdoğan
AKP
İmamoğlu
CHP
Yavaş
CHP
Kılıçdaroğlu
CHP
Demirtaş
HDP
Akşener
İYİ
Karamollaoğlu
SAADET
Bahçeli
MHP
Babacan
DEVA
Davutoğlu
GP
İnce
MP
13–15 DecPublic Status4,15053.027.78.56.81.10.90.21.21.025.3
21−28 OctADA1,70045.126.61.14.26.11.45.33.82.11.62.818.1
19–30 AugADA Archived 2019-09-22 at the Wayback Machine1,72139.128.60.58.06.86.54.22.32.02.010.5
2–7 AugSAROS3,01245.019.215.312.80.74.92.125.8
2019
JulORCN/A56.7[nb 3]27.7[nb 4]8.46.50.50.229.0
24 Jun 20182018 presidential election51,188,52452.6[nb 3]30.6[nb 4]8.47.30.9N/AN/AN/AN/A0.220.0

Second round

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Erdoğan vs. Kılıçdaroğlu

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Polling aggregations

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  Light red denotes reports that were released after the polling ban came into effect.
Aggregator/
Pollsters
Fieldwork datesLast updatedErdoğan
PEOPLE
Kılıçdaroğlu
NATION
Others/
Undecided
Lead
POLITICOMay28 May51%49%2%
Anketler ve RaporlarApril28 May52.4%47.5%0.1%4.9%
Türkiye RaporuApril2 May47.97%52.03%4.06%

Official campaign polling

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The table below contains polls conducted after the official start of the campaign period on 15 May.

  Light red denotes polls that were released after the polling ban came into effect.
Fieldwork date[nb 1]Polling firmSample size Lead
Erdoğan
PEOPLE
Kılıçdaroğlu
NATION
25–26 MayİEA51.948.13.8
25–26 MayBETİMAR6,60152.247.84.4
25–26 MayÖzdemir3,25053.9446.067.88
25–26 MayALF2,50049.750.30.6
25–26 MaySER-AR2,20048.751.32.6
24–25 MayORC3,95049.250.81.6
24–25 MayArea2,02649.450.61.2
18–22 MayÖzdemir5,91654.145.98.2
20–21 MayKONDA3,60752.747.35.4
20–21 MayAreda10,49152.447.64.8
13–15 MayTAG2,35051.648.43.2

Pre-campaign polling

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2023

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Fieldwork datePolling firmSample size UndecidedLead
Erdoğan
PEOPLE
Kılıçdaroğlu
NATION
9-10 MayMetroPOLL2,03848.751.33.1
8-9 MayArea3,00048.052.04.0
4-8 MayİVEM4.02052.147.94.2
2-8 MayBULGU2,40045.754.38.6
3-7 MaySAROS8,16446.153.97.8
2-6 MayTAG3,15045.254.89.6
4 May 2023Opinion polling ban comes into effect 10 days before the first round.[9]
1–3 MayAtlasIntel2,00648.545.16.43.5
27 Apr-3 MayAR-G2,23149.250.81.6
27 Apr-2 MaySONAR2,52352.147.94.2
27 Apr-2 MayASAL2,52350.849.21.6
25-30 AprSAROS7,28448.851.22.4
26-29 AprADA3,27851.148.92.2
26-28 AprAksoy1,53745.854.28.4
25-28 AprOptimar3,00551.448.62.8
25-27 AprAREDA[pc 1]14,19353.346.76.6
24-26 AprGezici3,99147.252.85.6
23-26 AprTEAM3,05447.552.55.0
17-25 AprTÜSİAR97251.148.92.2
18-24 AprAl-Monitor/Premise97245.244.99.90.3
10-25 AprBULGU2,40044.355.711.4
13-24 AprArtıbir1,50046.453.67.2
12-20 AprArea10,27749.350.71.4
15-21 AprTAG1,85044.851.63.66.8
15-20 AprAreda[pc 1]17,40053.546.57.0
AprGenar51.748.33.4
10-16 AprSONAR4,54152.147.94.2
10-16 AprAksoy1,06742.657.414.8
5-15 AprHBS5,10049.350.71.4
1-7 AprOptimar4,74551.148.92.2
AprSaros10,72949.750.30.6
1-2 AprGezici2,86444.855.210.4
25 Mar-2 AprASAL2,14751.448.62.8
28 Mar-1 AprAreda Survey[pc 1]18,47852.847.25.6
27-29 MarYöneylem2,65544.955.110.2
22-27 MarAksoy1,53743.256.813.6
12-17 MarAvrasya[pc 2]2,56043.057.014.0
11-15 MarBulgu Araştırma1,80038.642.419.03.8
11-14 MarMetroPOLL1,99942.044.613.42.6
8-15 MarMAK5,75042.446.511.14.1
7-10 MarADA3,12153.746.37.4
6-9 MarİEA2,00039.647.013.47.4
8 MarAksoy1,53744.455.611.2
6-7 MarALF1,77044.955.110.2
6 March 2023Kılıçdaroğlu is declared the Nation Alliance candidate for president.
4-6 MarORC1,85043.256.813.6
MarchAksoy1,53743.256.813.6
MarchSAROS10,82646.353.77.4
MarchGENAR3,00046.342.111.64.2
MarchPiar1,46042.957.114.2
27 Jan–2 FebAvrasya[pc 2]2,46040.348.211.57.9
FebruaryMetroPOLL2,11742.741.415.71.3
14-24 JanASAL2,52046.939.313.87.6
13-18 JanMetroPOLL2,02245.943.011.12.9
3-8 JanAvrasya[pc 2]2,61238.348.513.210.2
2-5 JanORC3,78042.541.815.70.7
23 Dec–2 JanSosyo Politik1,58235.836.827.41.0
JanuaryYöneylem2,40041.046.212.75.2

2022

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Fieldwork datePolling firmSample size UndecidedLead
Erdoğan
People's
Kılıçdaroğlu
Nation
22-27 DecYöneylem2,40042.545.212.32.7
20-25 DecArea2,00437.638.623.81.0
14-24 DecArtıbir1,50039.443.617.04.2
13-18 DecMetroPOLL2,07740.144.915.04.8
3 Nov–12 DecGlobal & Akademetre1,00044.034.321.79.7
29 Nov–3 DecAvrasya[pc 2]2,61237.548.214.310.7
DecemberSAROS11,10649.750.30.6
21-30 NovArtıbir1,50038.243.818.05.6
23-27 NovYöneylem2,40042.843.313.90.5
15-20 NovMetroPOLL2,12244.539.416.05.1
29 Oct–6 NovAvrasya[pc 2]2,56038.447.913.79.5
NovemberSAROS11,02840.241.018.80.8
24-28 OctYöneylem2,40040.743.615,72.9
15-18 OctMetroPOLL2,14545.441.313.24.1
10-18 OctArtıbir1,50038.543.418.14.9
5-14 OctASAL2,31242.838.818.44.0
26-30 SepYöneylem2,40040.646.812.66.2
17-20 SepMetroPOLL2,11944.943.911.21.0
15-20 SepArea3,12331.836.531.64.7
5-14 SepArtıbir1,50038.248.113,79.9
SeptemberKONDA35.037.028.02.0
SeptemberSAROS2,02541.339.019.72.3
SeptemberAksoy1,06746.453.67.2
25 Aug–1 SeptYöneylem2,40338.048.713.310.7
22-28 AugAvrasya[pc 2]2,00038.044.718.36.7
13-17 AugMetroPOLL1,71741.447.710.96.3
30 Jul–8 AugAvrasya[pc 2]2,41035.856.57.720.7
1-4 AugAreda Survey[pc 1]3,87247.942.49.75.5
AugustHBS56.044.012.0
11-16 JulMetroPOLL2,09142.745.411.92.7
2-3 JulGezici2,68046.853.26.4
JulSAROS1,67237.636.525.91.1
25 Jun–1 JulAvrasya[pc 2]1,46037,954.18.016.2
20-30 JunBUPAR2,98631.243.425.412.2
24-28 JunYöneylem2,70437.546.615.99.1
10-21 JunObjektif9,96038.951.79.412.8
11-15 JunMetroPOLL2,12339.846.114.16.3
7-14 JunASAL3,00036.835.128.11.7
JuneKONDA34.031.035.01.0
JuneArtıbir1,50038.447.6149.2
26 May–1 JunAvrasya[pc 2]1,50039.151.59.412.4
16-23 MayArtıbir1,50039.748.212.18.5
12-15 MayYöneylem2,40036.544.918.78.4
5-8 MayASAL2,40043.132.424.510.7
27 Apr–3 MayAvrasya[pc 2]2,46040.251.38.511.1
MayMetroPOLL40.542.716.82.2
MaySAROS2,98748.851.22.4
14-20 AprMetroPOLL2,16442.543.313.50.8
8-10 AprASAL2,10042.333.024.79.3
1-4 AprSosyo Politik2,01038.140.521.42.4
24-29 MarAvrasya[pc 2]2,49041.946.811.34.9
3–6 MarYöneylem2,48838.640.121.31.5
FebGEZİCİ47.452.65.2
24–31 JanAKAM1,860406020
9–14 JanAKAM1,26042.053.94.111.9

2019–2021

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Fieldwork datePolling firmSample size UndecidedLead
Erdoğan
People's
Kılıçdaroğlu
Nation
23–27 DecAKAM2,46040.553.913.4
14–15 DecAKAM1,26032.150.617.318.5
13–20 NovOptimar2,50735.433.930.61.5
11–17 NovAKAM1,26034.147.918.013.8
27 Oct – 3 NovYöneylem2,00046.553.57.0
9–14 OctAKAM1,50047.152.95.8
OctSAROS1,85447.937.914.110.0
19–27 SepOptimar1,93841.234.724.16.5
21–28 AugAKAM2,46045.854.28.4
AugYöneylem3,04038.642.918.64.3
11–14 AugAKAMN/A46.153.97.8
AugOptimarN/A47.431.820.915.6
JulyBupar31.243.425.412.2
26–30 JulYöneylem3,04040.641.018.40.4
10–13 JulOptimar1,72649.230.820.018.4
25–29 JunYöneylem3,84843.438.717.94.7
23–28 JunAKAM2,46039.144.016.94.9
8–13 JunAKAM2,46035.241.823.06.6
MayGezici2,28043.144.812.11.7
21–25 MayYöneylem3,14044.840.414.94.4
22–24 MayOptimar1,83646.735.517.811.2
12-15 MayYöneylem2.40036.544.918.78.4
6–9 MayİEA1,50644.239.416.44.8
27 Apr-3 MayAKAM2.46040.251.38.511,1
27–30 AprYöneylem3,60545.532.422.313.1
26–30 AprAksoy1,06737.232.530.34.7
16–21 AprMetropoll1,75242.539.717.82.8
14–20 AprMetroPOLL2.16442.543.313.50.8
1–4 AprSosyo Politik2.01038.140.521.42.4
MarAksoyN/A39.629.930.59.7
MarSAROS3,04245.139.915.05.2
29–31 MarYöneylem3,14047.331.920.915.4
24–29 MarAKAM2.49041.946.811.34.9
28 Feb – 5 MarOptimar2,20744.727.028.317.7
FebAksoy2,40038.931.429.77.5
JanSAROS3,03442.223.734.118.5
JanAksoy2,40040.029.230.710.8
15–30 JanYöneylem5,29241.029.029.612.0
20–26 JanADA3,24552.827.819.425.0
12–20 JanOptimar2,08945.827.227.018.6
6–10 JanAKAM1,46037.435.926.71.5
2021
DecAksoy2,40039.029.731.39.3
19–23 DecMetroPoll1,79145.227.827.017.4
3–9 DecOptimar2,25347.842.210.05.6
NovSAROS3,09242.532.025.410.5
21–26 NovAKAM2,46041.038.920.12.1
OctAksoy2,40040.631.328.19.3
19–24 OctAKAM2,46041.238.520.32.7
21–25 SepAKAM2,46038.538.123.40.4
22–27 AugAKAM2,46041.440.618.00.8
MayORC2,31654.136.49.517.7
2020
28–31 DecORC2,98053.731.714.622.0
2019

Eliminated candidates

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Erdoğan vs. İnce

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Fieldwork datePolling firmSample size UndecidedLead
Erdoğan
AKP
İnce
MP
15–17 MarchTAG185047.436.116.511.3
2023
FebAR-G52.011.037.015
2022
OctSAROS1,85449.827.023.222.8
19–27 SepOptimar1,93843.130.426.412.7
AugOptimarN/A49.929.420.720.5
10–13 JulOptimar1,72649.426.424.223.0
23–28 JunAKAM2,46041.034.224.86.8
17 May 2021İnce founded the Homeland Party.
Fieldwork datePolling firmSample sizeErdoğan
AKP
İnce
CHP
UndecidedLead
MarAksoyN/A41.820.937.320.9
MarSAROS3,04244.721.933.422.8
28 Feb – 5 MarOptimar2,20744.226.429.417.8
FebYöneylemN/A45.125.229.719.9
FebAksoy2,40039.622.238.217.4
JanSAROS3,03442.06.051.936.0
JanAksoy2,40039.623.436.916.2
20–26 JanADA3,24550.528.121.422.4
12–20 JanOptimar2,08945.028.626.416.4
6–10 JanAKAM1,46037.930.631.57.3
2021
DecAksoy2,40040.224.635.215.6
19–23 DecMetroPoll1,79143.123.433.519.7
NovSAROS3,09242.310.347.432.0
OctAksoy2,40041.429.229.412.2
19–24 OctAKAM2,46041.935.922.26.0
21–25 SepAKAM2,46038.735.126.23.6
AugMetroPollN/A48.532.219.316.3
22–27 AugAKAM2,46042.735.921.46.8
10–12 AugOptimar2,12144.533.522.011.0
10–24 JanYöneylem2,50743.132.624.310.5
2020
2–7 AugSAROS3,01240.626.732.713.9
2019

Hypothetical candidates

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Erdoğan vs. İmamoğlu

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Fieldwork datePolling firmSample sizeUndecidedLead
Erdoğan
AKP
İmamoğlu
CHP
JulBupar30.543.925.613.4
12-15 MayYöneylem2.40036.046.517.710.5
27 Apr-3 MayAKAM2.46038.853.77.514.9
14–20 AprMetroPOLL2.16440.049.79.89.7
1–4 APRSosyo Politik2.01036.742.520.85.8
24–29 MarAKAM2.49042.252.15.79.9
3–6 MarYöneylem2.48837.649.612.812
24–31 JanAKAM1.860386224
9–14 JanAKAM1.26038.159.12.121
2022
23–27 DecAKAM2,46039.158.419.3
14–15 DecAKAM1,2603154.714.323.7
13–20 NovOptimar2,50741.334.224.57.1
11–17 NovAKAM1,26033.649.516.915.9
27 Oct – 3 NovYöneylem2,00042.058.016.0
9–14 OctAKAM1,50042.357.715.4
OctSAROS1,85447.341.311.36.0
19–27 SepOptimar1,93842.638.019.54.6
21–28 AugAKAM2,46040.559.519.0
AugYöneylem3,04037.848.513.610.7
11–14 AugAKAMN/A41.158.917.8
AugOptimarN/A46.336.417.39.9
26–30 JulYöneylem3,04039.248.512.39.3
10–13 JulOptimar1,72648.137.814.110.3
25–29 JunYöneylem3,84840.646.113.35.5
21−29 JunArtıbir1,50044.246.19.71.9
23−28 JunAKAM2,46037.850.212.014.4
8–13 JunAKAM2,46034.749.615.714.9
5–30 MaySandık Analiz4,47743.156.913.8
21–25 MayYöneylem3,14040.448.511.18.1
22–24 MayOptimar1,83644.941.813.33.1
6–9 MayİEA1,50639.951.48.711.5
27–30 AprYöneylem3,60540.342.916.82.6
AprAKAMN/A32.148.019.915.9
26–30 AprAksoy1,06736.045.518.69.5
9–30 AprSandık Analiz2,42744.255.811.6
16–21 AprMetropoll1,75238.849.711.510.9
11–14 AprAKAM1,46030.548.620.918.1
MarAksoyN/A37.045.117.98.1
MarSAROS3,04245.244.210.61.0
29–31 MarYöneylem3,14042.842.614.50.2
26–31 MarAKAM2,46033.647.618.814.0
7–24 MarSandık AnalizN/A44.455.611.2
7–12 MarAKAM1,48035.247.017.811.8
28 Feb – 5 MarOptimar2,20742.534.622.97.9
FebSandık Analiz9,80445.754.38.6
FebYöneylemN/A41.940.817.31.1
FebAksoy2,40037.345.317.48.0
18–25 FebAKAM2,18434.346.219.511.9
19–22 FebMetropoll1,60444.343.712.10.6
JanSandık Analiz9,73844.355.711.4
JanSAROS3,03442.937.819.35.1
JanAksoy2,40037.744.118.26.4
15–30 JanYöneylem5,29238.840.120.71.3
12–20 JanOptimar2,08943.935.220.88.7
6–10 JanAKAM1,46037.242.120.74.9
4–9 JanArtıbir1,50043.241.215.62.0
2021
DecSandık Analiz3,80947.752.34.6
DecAksoy2,40037.043.319.76.3
19–23 DecMetroPoll1,79141.541.217.30.3
21 Nov – 9 DecKonsensus1,50053.746.37.4
NovSAROS3,09242.536.221.36.3
21–26 NovAKAM2,46041.543.115.41.6
OctAksoy2,40040.644.015.43.4
19–24 OctAKAM2,46041.142.316.61.2
21–25 SepAKAM2,46038.741.919.43.2
AugMetroPollN/A46.543.510.03.0
22–27 AugAKAM2,46040.843.715.52.9
10–12 AugOptimar2,12145.136.818.18.3
5–6 AugAksoy1,06737.138.724.21.6
18–26 JulArtıbir1,50039.033.127.95.9
20–23 MayAKAM2,46040.445.514.15.1
20 Apr – 8 MayOptimar2,30744.734.720.610.0
20–29 AprYöneylem2,40940.837.022.23.8
18–25 MarYöneylem2,60542.144.913.02.8
20 Feb – 2 MarArtıbir1,50042.939.617.53.3
28 Jan – 4 FebArtıbir1,50043.238.318.54.9
10–24 JanYöneylem2,50739.141.419.62.3
2020
28–31 DecORC2,98050.934.214.916.7
19–24 NovPIAR2,41639.744.515.84.8
2–7 AugSAROS3,01240.736.922.43.8
2019

Erdoğan vs. Yavaş

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Fieldwork datePolling firmSample sizeUndecidedLead
Erdoğan
AKP
Yavaş
CHP
JulBupar30.047.422.617.4
27 Apr-3 MayAKAM2.46038.452.09.613.6
14–20 AprMetroPOLL2.16436.553.99.017.4
1–4 AprSosyo Politik2.01032.534.033.40.6
24–29 MarAKAM2.49039.755.54.815.8
FebAR-G42.056.02.014
24–31 JanAKAM1.860366428
9–14 JanAKAM1.26035.461.53.126.1
2022
23–27 DecAKAM2,46035.261.526.3
14–15 DecAKAM1,26030.154.215.724.1
13–20 NovOptimar2,50741.339.319.42
11–17 NovAKAM1,26032.849.218.016.4
27 Oct – 3 NovYöneylem2,00038.062.024.0
9–14 OctAKAM1,50043.156.913.8
OctSAROS1,85447.938.813.39.1
19–27 SepOptimar1,93842.339.318.53.0
21–28 AugAKAM2,46041.958.116.2
AugYöneylem3,04034.853.811.319.0
11–14 AugAKAMN/A42.657.414.8
AugOptimarN/A46.541.811.54.7
26–30 JulYöneylem3,04036.652.810.616.2
10–13 JulOptimar1,72646.839.313.97.5
25–29 JunYöneylem3,84838.449.312.410.9
21–29 JunArtıbir1,50042.745.811.53.1
23–28 JunAKAM2,46037.049.413.612.4
8–13 JunAKAM2,46032.048.219.816.2
5–30 MaySandık Analiz4,47739.260.821.6
21–25 MayYöneylem3,14038.850.710.511.9
22–24 MayOptimar1,83644.142.013.92.1
6–9 MayİEA1,50638.152.59.414.4
27–30 AprYöneylem3,60538.946.514.57.6
AprAKAMN/A30.947.521.616.6
26–30 AprAksoy1,06735.747.916.412.2
9–30 AprSandık Analiz2,42738.961.122.2
16–21 AprMetropoll1,75237.549.413.111.9
11–14 AprAKAM1,46030.548.021.517.5
MarAksoyN/A37.047.815.210.8
MarSAROS3,04245.241.013.84.2
29–31 MarYöneylem3,14041.345.513.24.2
26–31 MarAKAM2,46033.847.718.513.9
7–24 MarSandık AnalizN/A42.957.114.2
7–12 MarAKAM1,48034.347.118.612.8
28 Feb – 5 MarOptimar2,20741.236.722.14.5
FebSandık Analiz9,80444.555.511.0
FebYöneylemN/A40.143.016.92.9
FebAksoy2,40037.047.515.510.5
18–25 FebAKAM2,18434.748.616.713.9
19–22 FebMetropoll1,60444.644.411.10.2
JanSandık Analiz9,74643.656.412.8
JanSAROS3,03441.930.927.111.0
JanAksoy2,40037.748.513.810.8
15–30 JanYöneylem5,29238.438.422.90.0
12–20 JanOptimar2,08943.131.825.011.9
6–10 JanAKAM1,46036.942.720.45.8
2021
DecSandık Analiz3,80946.753.36.6
DecAksoy2,40035.448.715.813.3
19–23 DecMetroPoll1,79140.743.915.43.2
21 Nov – 9 DecKonsensus1,50055.244.810.4
NovSandık AnalizN/A48.951.11.2
NovSAROS3,09242.831.925.210.9
21–26 NovAKAM2,46041.142.216.71.1
2–12 NovArtıbir1,50043.638.917.54.7
OctAksoy2,40039.549.011.59.5
19–24 OctAKAM2,46039.840.419.80.6
21–25 SepAKAM2,46038.037.624.40.4
AugMetroPollN/A45.543.011.62.5
22–27 AugAKAM2,46040.441.118.50.7
10–12 AugOptimar2,12144.536.718.87.8
5–6 AugAksoy1,06739.240.420.41.2
18–26 JulArtıbir1,50049.730.519.819.2
20–23 MayAKAM2,46039.939.720.40.2
20 Apr – 8 MayOptimar2,30743.036.120.96.9
20–29 AprYöneylem2,40939.936.923.33.0
10–24 JanYöneylem2,50739.532.627.86.9
2020

Erdoğan vs. Akşener

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2022
edit
Fieldwork datePolling firmSample sizeUndecidedLead
Erdoğan
AKP
Akşener
İYİ
JulyBupar30.137.332.67.2
14–20 AprMetroPOLL2.16441.943.813,71.9
1–4 AprSosyo Politik2.01034.528.736.82.3
2021
edit
Fieldwork datePolling firmSample sizeUndecidedLead
Erdoğan
AKP
Akşener
İYİ
OctSAROS1,85448.037.114.810.9
21–28 AugAKAM2,46046.054.08.0
AugYöneylem3,04037.245.617.28.4
11–14 AugAKAMN/A46.853.26.4
26–30 JulYöneylem3,04040.144.215.74.1
25–29 JunYöneylem3,84841.241.617.20.4
23–28 JunAKAM2,46039.842.317.92.5
8–13 JunAKAM2,46034.138.927.04.8
21–25 MayYöneylem3,14042.243.014.80.8
22–24 MayOptimar1,83643.830.026.213.8
6–9 MayİEA1,50639.145.415.56.3
27–30 AprYöneylem3,60542.638.119.34.5
26–30 AprAksoy1,06737.437.525.10.1
16–21 AprMetropoll1,75238.542.519.04.0
MarAksoyN/A39.538.022.51.5
MarSAROS3,04245.134.020.811.1
29–31 MarYöneylem3,14044.436.419.28.0
7–24 MarSandık Analiz4,03949.150.91.8
28 Feb – 5 MarOptimar2,20743.627.029.516.6
FebSandık Analiz9,80450.349.70.6
FebYöneylemN/A43.934.221.99.7
FebAksoy2,40040.235.824.04.4
JanSandık Analiz9,73349.550.51.0
JanSAROS3,03442.027.030.915.0
JanAksoy2,40040.638.121.32.5
15–30 JanYöneylem5,29240.132.127.48.0
20–26 JanADA3,24548.337.614.110.7
12–20 JanOptimar2,08943.830.026.213.8
6–10 JanAKAM1,46037.136.426.50.7
2021
DecAksoy2,40038.137.124.81.0
19–23 DecMetroPoll1,79142.930.226.912.7
21 Nov – 9 DecKonsensus1,50063.837.226.6
NovSAROS3,09242.619.737.722.9
21–26 NovAKAM2,46041.540.318.21.2
OctAksoy2,40041.435.922.75.5
19–24 OctAKAM2,46040.638.121.32.5
21–25 SepAKAM2,46037.936.825.31.1
AugMetroPollN/A46.838.314.98.5
22–27 AugAKAM2,46042.040.117.91.9
5–6 AugAksoy1,06740.432.227.38.2
MayORC2,31651.937.510.614.4
10–24 JanYöneylem2,50740.830.129.110.7
2020
28–31 DecORC2,98050.238.011.812.2
2019

Erdoğan vs. Babacan

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Fieldwork datePolling firmSample sizeUndecidedLead
Erdoğan
AKP
Babacan
DEVA
1–4 AprilSosyo Politik2.01036.621.042.35.7
2022
23–27 DecAKAM2,46044.348.54.2
14–15 DecAKAM1,26032.846.521.513.7
11–17 NovAKAM1,26033.542.923.69.4
23–28 OctAKAM2,46034.642.023.47.4
9–14 OctAKAM1,50048.151.93.8
OctSAROS1,85448.918.732.530.2
23–28 JunAKAM2,46039.036.124.92.9
6–9 MayİEA1,50643.536.919.66.6
MarAksoyN/A40.620.738.719.9
MarSAROS3,04245.219.635.125.6
28 Feb – 5 MarOptimar2,20743.217.439.425.8
FebAksoy2,40040.120.439.519.7
JanSAROS3,03442.23.454.438.8
JanAksoy2,40041.021.837.219.2
15–30 JanYöneylem5,29240.321.937.518.4
20–26 JanADA3,24551.925.922.226.0
12–20 JanOptimar2,08945.120.934.524.2
6–10 JanAKAM1,46037.234.328.52.9
2021
DecAksoy2,40040.425.434.215.0
19–23 DecMetroPoll1,79143.621.435.022.2
NovSAROS3,09242.815.042.227.8
21–26 NovAKAM2,46040.137.922.02.2
OctAksoy2,40042.125.232.716.9
19–24 OctAKAM2,46039.936.723.43.2
22–27 AugAKAM2,46041.935.222.96.7
5–6 AugAksoy1,06739.914.645.525.3
18–25 MarYöneylem2,60546.624.728.721.9
10–24 JanYöneylem2,50737.026.136.910.9
2020
2–7 AugSAROS3,01238.76.155.232.6
2019

Erdoğan vs. Gül

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Fieldwork datePolling firmSample sizeUndecidedLead
Erdoğan
AKP
Gül
IND
23–27 DecAKAM2,46054.738.016.7
OctSAROS1,85449.411.838.737.6
23–28 JunAKAM2,46039.934.525.65.4
MarAksoyN/A39.516.344.223.2
MarSAROS3,04245.318.536.226.8
28 Feb – 5 MarOptimar2,20744.216.739.127.5
FebAksoy2,40038.418.143.520.3
JanSAROS3,03441.94.054.137.9
JanAksoy2,40040.117.242.622.9
12–20 JanOptimar2,08943.520.336.123.2
2021
DecAksoy2,40038.516.944.621.6
21 Nov – 9 DecKonsensus1,50076.323.752.6
NovSAROS3,09242.610.546.932.1
21–26 NovAKAM2,46043.237.119.76.1
OctAksoy2,40041.018.740.322.3
19–24 OctAKAM2,46040.734.524.86.2
21–25 SepAKAM2,46041.033.425.67.6
AugMetroPollN/A49.622.527.927.1
22–27 AugAKAM2,46042.133.224.78.9
10–12 AugOptimar2,12144.321.334.423.0
5–6 AugAksoy1,06740.215.444.424.8
MayORC2,31657.425.117.532.3
20 Apr – 8 MayOptimar2,30746.720.432.926.3
10–18 MarOptimar2,00741.816.042.225.8
10–24 JanYöneylem2,50737.025.237.811.8
2020
28–31 DecORC2,98052.132.815.119.3
2019

Notes

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General

  1. ^ a b Publishment date if not possible.
  2. ^ Poll didn't present candidate names for AKP, CHP, HDP, İYİ; but presented parties.
  3. ^ a b With MHP.
  4. ^ a b With Muharrem İnce as the candidate.

Political connections

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Owner is affiliated with and has worked for AKP.[4]
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o Owner applied for an MP candidacy for CHP.[5]

References

edit
  1. ^ Sabah, Daily (2023-03-06). "Türkiye's presidential polls process to start March 10: Erdoğan". Daily Sabah. Retrieved 2023-03-08.
  2. ^ Ibrahim, Arwa (15 May 2023). "Turkey election results updates: Erdogan-Kilicdaroglu in run-off". Al Jazeera. Retrieved 16 May 2023.
  3. ^ "Muharrem İnce: Adaylıktan çekiliyorum". www.sozcu.com.tr (in Turkish). Retrieved 2023-05-11.
  4. ^ "AKP'li Yusuf Akın İstanbul'a açıldı". Cumhuriyet (in Turkish). 2019-11-10. Retrieved 2023-04-19.
  5. ^ "Kemal Özkiraz kimdir? CHP'den milletvekili aday adayı olan Kemal Özkiraz nereli, kaç yaşında?". Cumhuriyet (in Turkish). 2023-03-27. Retrieved 2023-04-18.
  6. ^ "Son dakika haberi Cumhurbaşkanı kesin aday listesi Resmi Gazete'de". Habertürk. 31 March 2023. Archived from the original on 30 March 2023.
  7. ^ "Yeniden Refah Partisi, Cumhur İttifakı'na katıldı". Sözcü (in Turkish). 2023-03-24. Retrieved 2023-03-24.
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